Late Lessons, Jensen Huang and AI

Bibliography of outside sources#

This page lists the outside sources cited in the six analyses and in the essay We’ve been here before: the works, documents, decisions, statements and reports that the analyses rely on or discuss, other than the working files of this project. Each entry gives the author or organisation, the title, the date and a link where one is available, followed by the documents that cite it. In all it has 243 entries, some of which group closely related items, and 209 of Maynard’s Substack posts.

How to read the “Cited in” notes. Documents are identified by number, followed by the sections where the source appears (§ for a numbered section, App. for an appendix, n. for a note in the essay). Where a source appears in many sections, the first few are given, followed by “…”.

Code Document
01 Late lessons from early warnings: an analysis of the two EEA reports
02 Jensen Huang’s view of AI and society
03 Late lessons and Jensen Huang
04 We’ve been here before (the essay)
05 Andrew Maynard on risk, AI and AI risk
06 Huang, Late Lessons and the AI moment, read through Maynard’s work

How the list was compiled. Every web address in the analyses and the essay was extracted, and every formal citation (a named work, document, decision or statement with an author or issuing body and a date) was identified by reading around it. The entries were then deduplicated. Where an analysis gives only a short citation (for example “Marchant 2003” or “Cohen and Tubb 2018”), the full reference is taken from the working file that the analysis draws on. Nothing is listed that the analyses and the essay do not cite. Where no link is given, none was recorded in the analyses or their working files.

What is not listed here. The two EEA reports are cited by section and page throughout 01 and 03, and the interview by timestamp throughout 02 and 03; both are described on the Sources page. Analysis 02 also cites brief data sources in its fact-check table (Appendix A); their details are in the fact-check working file. Analysis 03 (§9) compares Huang with eleven other AI leaders from their own statements, which are documented, with links, in the leader profiles. Analysis 01’s post-publication checks draw on more than 3,000 further linked sources, listed in the hindsight files and in the files on the reports’ context and critiques; only those that 01 cites by name are listed here.

Access. Some sources were read only in part: through an abstract, a review, an archive copy or other reports. Where the analyses record this for sources outside section 1.2, the entry says so. Items dated 23 September 2026 or later appeared after the interview was recorded.

Contents#

  1. The EEA reports and their cases
  2. Jensen Huang and Nvidia
  3. The July-September 2026 events and the AI labs
  4. Policy and government documents
  5. Scholarly literature and data
  6. Andrew Maynard’s own work
  7. News and commentary

1. The EEA reports and their cases#

1.1 The reports and the EEA’s later restatements#

1.2 Reception, critiques and defences#

The critiques and defences assessed in 01 §5.3. For each, 01 records how fully it was read (in full, in summary, from its abstract or from its metadata only); the working critiques file has the detail.

1.3 Later evidence on the cases: reviews, studies and assessments#

Post-publication evidence cited by name in the analyses’ checks of how the reports’ claims have held up, and in the essay’s notes on the cases.

1.4 Regulatory decisions and court judgments#

2. Jensen Huang and Nvidia#

2.1 The interview#

2.2 Huang’s own words, 2012-2026#

Listed in date order. The source types follow 02 (Appendix C): primary (an official or host-published transcript, or an Nvidia publication), unofficial transcript, or press report quoting him.

2.3 Biography#

2.4 Nvidia filings and corporate statements#

3. The July-September 2026 events and the AI labs#

3.1 The OpenAI-Hugging Face incident and its aftermath#

Many facts about the incident come from the labs’ own reports; METR’s investigation is the independent account (03 §1.6, §3.4).

3.2 The pacing debate and the labs’ positions#

4. Policy and government documents#

4.1 European precaution and innovation policy#

4.2 US policy#

5. Scholarly literature and data#

Critiques and defences of the reports and of the precautionary principle are listed in section 1.2, and later scientific evidence on the reports’ cases in section 1.3.

5.1 Risk, uncertainty and the control of technology#

5.2 AI, work, energy and public opinion#

Research and data used mainly to check claims made in the interview.

6. Andrew Maynard’s own work#

Analyses 05 and 06 are built on Maynard’s published work, and 01 cites the papers he co-wrote on nanotechnology and early warnings. He co-authored the 2013 report’s nanotechnology chapter (section 1.1). Items are cited in the analyses by the short keys given here. His Substack posts are linked to the plain-text mirror of The Future of Being Human at text.futureofbeinghuman.com/substack; his essays are at andrewmaynard.net. A fuller bibliography of his publications on risk, emerging technologies and AI is also available.

6.1 Books#

6.2 Papers, reports and chapters, 2005-2019#

6.3 Testimony and proposals for institutions#

6.4 Nature Nanotechnology “Thesis” columns, 2014-2016#

6.5 2020 Science blog posts, 2008-2016#

6.7 Papers of 2026#

The analyses treat several of Maynard’s 2026 texts as partly AI-assisted and weigh them accordingly; 05 §1 (Provenance rules) sets out how.

6.8 Essays on andrewmaynard.net, 2026, and a 2025 keynote#

Retrospective essays by Maynard, published under his sole byline. 05 uses them as evidence of how he now reads his earlier work.

6.9 Co-signed papers and reports#

6.10 The series this knowledge base accompanies#

6.11 Posts on The Future of Being Human#

The posts cited in the analyses, in date order, with the documents that cite them. 05 and 06 cite posts by date and short name; the dates of posts first published elsewhere and later moved to the Substack are approximate before 2019 (05 §1, Conventions). Guest posts and orientation pages mentioned only to exclude them are not listed.

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

7. News and commentary#

Reporting of Huang’s statements is listed with his own words in section 2.2.

7.1 Responses to the interview and to Huang’s views#

7.2 Hinton’s radiology forecast and other reporting#